CMC Markets专栏: 澳币潜在上行空间（图）

之前澳币预期未能如愿顺利上行，主要是由于美联储12月份加息预期所致，使得澳币上周大幅回撤。虽然如此，澳币仍旧坚守住对美元0.7060附近的支持位置而向上反弹。时间今日下午澳洲时间2点30分，新西兰时间4点30分将迎来澳联储议息决议，市场预期为2.0不变。由于低利率的刺激，第三季度出口量有明显提升，第三季度GDP有望改善。整体经济形势看，澳联储本次实行降息的可能性很小。

而从澳币的盘面上看，澳币仍有机会在本年度内整理上行，上方的潜在空间仍然可能分别在0.7200, 0.7350,0.7530的位置。

技术形态

日线图上澳币/美元走出近似下降通道的整理形态，目前有望再次向上试探0.7200附近的阻力位置，而下方的潜在支持位置有可能在0.7050-0.7060的区间。如果能够顺利突破此下行通道，则有可能打开进一步的上行空间。

月线图上同样能够反映出澳币的潜在筑底形态，技术指标有在超卖区上行的迹象。如果以黄金分割延展线分析上方的潜在多头目标，其潜在位置分别为0.7200，0.7380，0.7530附近。

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Tina Teng在2015年6月份加入CMC Markets 担任销售与客户培训主管职务，负责亚太地区客户的培训和经济评论的撰写工作。她具有其独树一帜的市场视角和技术分析方法，认为金融市场是集历史，经济，政治，心理学与哲学于一身的学问。技术分析是市场基本面的可视性技术语言;而对于技术性语言的解读与对各国家经济、政治与历史背景分析的结合，与对投资心理状态的理解才会是对金融市场最全面的感知。自2012至2015年，Tina Teng曾任职金融经纪公司客户服务部经理为客户提供外汇差价合约方面的培训工作。此前，自2005年至2009年，她曾经在中国中央电视台广告经济中心任职，负责撰写中国广告经济方面的评论文章，造就了她对于中国经济现状和企业现状有深入的理解和敏锐的洞察力。